Grounded analysis · deterministic

Rule-grounded analysis of synthetic demonstration data. No external or person-level data is used.

Decision brief

Three signals from the current dashboard view.

Current position

The portfolio records 15.2M reach and 8M active learners. The 2026-Q2 reach estimate is +10.1% relative to the 2025-Q4 snapshot.

Needs attention

Learning improvement is 15.4%, 4.6 percentage points below the 2025-Q4 result.

Check next

No disability disaggregation is the largest portfolio-wide evidence gap (249 combinations); Nigeria has the weakest 2026 country evidence score.

Suggested questions

Questions automatically use the current filters.

Sources used

1
Children reached
15.2M · All countries · 2026
Reach estimate · Latest closed-quarter de-duplicated estimate; 2026-Q2 is compared with the 2025-Q4 snapshot, and quarterly snapshots are not summed.
2
Active learners
8M · All countries · 2026
Routine monitoring · Average active learners recorded in the selected reporting scope.
4
Learning improvement
15.4% · All countries · 2026
Measured outcome · Treatment cohorts with matched baseline and endline observations.
9
Evidence gap register
249 no disability disaggregation combinations · Portfolio-wide · all years
Transparent rule-based flags · Counts indicator-country-programme combinations with missing, old or insufficiently disaggregated evidence.
10
Country comparison
8 countries · All countries · 2026
Mixed evidence classes · Country rows compare reach, active learners, engagement, learning and target achievement for the selected year.

Education impact intelligence

Synthetic proposal data · no real Ubongo records All countries 2026

Reporting window2026-Q2Actuals through Q2

Children reached

15.2M

+10.1% vs prior year

2026-Q2 · de-duplicated estimate

Reach estimate

Active learners

8M

+10.1% vs prior year

37.8% of gross platform reach

Routine monitoring

Learning improvement

15.4%

Treatment cohorts with baseline and endline

Measured outcome

Target achievement

96.6%

8 programmes · 12 products

Closed reporting periods

Female participation51.2%1.2 pp from parityWhere gender is recorded

Measured or evaluated4.8%Share of indicator-country-programme combinationsEvidence confidence

Reach and active learners over time

Quarterly snapshots; figures are not summed across periods.

View accessible data table

Period	Reach	Active learners
2024-Q1	12,138,119	6,213,902
2024-Q2	12,558,698	6,280,451
2024-Q3	14,330,814	7,414,788
2024-Q4	12,924,832	6,604,850
2025-Q1	12,899,244	6,891,771
2025-Q2	13,060,004	6,960,668
2025-Q3	15,245,911	7,921,508
2025-Q4	13,812,534	7,261,177
2026-Q1	14,778,635	7,734,938
2026-Q2	15,214,242	7,991,914

Evidence gaps needing attention

Transparent rules surface missing, old or insufficiently disaggregated evidence.

No disability disaggregationIndicator-country-programme combinations
249
No gender disaggregationIndicator-country-programme combinations
190
No outcome evidenceIndicator-country-programme combinations
73
No evidence recordIndicator-country-programme combinations
62
Small sampleIndicator-country-programme combinations
22

Country comparison · 2026

Select a country to focus every headline metric.

Scroll horizontally to compare all measures.

Country	Quarterly reach	Active learners	Engagement	Learning improvement	Target achievement
	6.8M	3.6M	37.8%	21.2%	99.2%
	2.8M	1.4M	37.3%	17.6%	91.4%
	2.3M	1.2M	37.7%	14.5%	93.8%
	1.1M	592.3K	39.4%	17.1%	94.6%
	748.1K	391.7K	37.7%	11.2%	92.4%
	449.9K	231.1K	37.0%	14.4%	100.0%
	387.7K	202.7K	37.6%	13.1%	95.7%
	382.7K	195.1K	36.7%	—	102.3%

Evidence confidence

Each combination is counted once across indicator, country and programme.

No evidence10.6%
Tier 1 · Estimated81.5%
Tier 2 · Reported3.1%
Tier 3 · Measured3.9%
Tier 4 · Evaluated0.9%

Decision cue

Reach can rely on estimates. Learning claims should rest on measured or evaluated evidence.